Midweek Pick for Ykkönen – goals galore at Vuosaari!

A goalfest is not really needed, I would happily settle for 3 goals in this derby between FC Viikingit – PK35 tonight in the ‘rough’ Eastern suburbs of Helsinki.

Like all of my picks, this one is based on a combination of performances on the pitch and statistics. I have seen both teams play, improve, develop and get thrashed over the years, also this season.

Ykkönen is fundamentally a league where scoring has always been a problem and under 2.5 – goals at any given match is the more likely outcome. The reasons are varied, but to cut a long story short it is down to the fact that attacking is more difficult than defending and all the promising goal-scorers have moved elsewhere as Ykkönen is not the most visible or financially rewarding of the leagues, yet it is demanding and requires commitment from the players, in stark contrast to Kakkonen or the lower divisions.

Viikingit have done well results wise lately, and are one of the promotion favourites in Ykkönen this season. They are one of the teams with some capability and desire to go forward, and as the only 100 % local challenger to the mighty HJK they are also widely expected to return to Veikkausliiga. This season they are unbeaten at home – a fact that also might suggest taking a home win here – and they have scored at least twice in their last five home games, the exception being the nowadays quite resilient Atlantis team that PK-35 know very well by now after their last two contests.

Neither of the teams’ goal statistics over all this season points out that there would be any more goals than usual, which forces me to look further and find the head-to-head stats which I usually would not bother even considering relevant.

24.06.09 Ykkönen PK-35 Vantaa vs. FC Viikingit 1:2

06.09.08 Ykkönen PK-35 Vantaa vs. FC Viikingit 1:2

15.06.08 Ykkönen FC Viikingit vs. PK-35 Vantaa 5:2

27.07.06 Ykkönen FC Viikingit vs. PK-35 Vantaa 2:1

01.06.06 Ykkönen PK-35 Vantaa vs. FC Viikingit 0:5

01.09.05 Ykkönen PK-35 Vantaa vs. FC Viikingit 2:0

09.06.05 Ykkönen FC Viikingit vs. PK-35 Vantaa 0:1

Keeping in mind that this is a fiery derby, the fact that Viikingit have found the net with ease and PK-35′s defence looked poor and injury-riddled when they were hit by a goal machine called Atlantis (1-5), I cannot but wonder the line of 2.25 for total goals.

Recommendation:

Viikingit – PK35 over 2.25 goals at 1.83

For you dear readers out there who are not familiar with Asian Handicap Betting, an explanation of the bet; over 2.25 is a combination of two bets, over 2 and over 2.5.

If there are 2 goals in the game, I will lose one half and get the stake back from the other half. To win this I need 3 goals or more, it does not matter which teams scores as it is a match total.

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4 comments on this post.
  1. kalle:

    Hi, I’m a swedish guy that works at weltfussball.de and I have always wanted to add the ykkonen to the site.. but I never find a good site to find the schedule and the results. Do you/anyone know a good site where I can find it? If it’s a suitable site, then you might find ykkonen on weltfussball.de

    http://www.weltfussball.de

  2. Puntteri:

    A good site?

    The official site and naturally in Finnish only is at

    http://www.miestenykkonen.fi/

    Do not hold your breath for previews and reviews though and there are not too many stats available either.

    Google also finds the language difficult to translate, but as a Swede you could easily ask one of your neigbours to teach you some finnish, perkele!

  3. svenne:

    why say perkele to him? he just want’s help… no need to be rude..

    and why should a swede learn finnish? finland has been swedish and swedish is a language in finland.

  4. puntteri:

    It was just a poor attempt to be funny. About half of my family live in Stockholm and those sweds who have married to the family have learned about 5 finnish words so far, which is enough if you do not live in Finland.

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